Part 1: Mapping Stock Market Trend to Human Capital Issues

It is this seasonal period during the year that a large population of workers suffers from some degree of procrastination again. When I traced into the root of this potential mental disease and I strongly believe that the source of the problem lies in the fact the working environment itself is procrastinating at a seasonal basis. May be I should rephrase it as "at a cyclical basis".

If I'm able to plot the factors for this scenario, I shall get a graph similar to how our financial stock market behaves.

Bearish trend versus Bullish trend and the stagnant "Cold War" period.

A typical characteristic that determines the emergent of bearish trend (And I'm saying a huge big black bear), is the price moves down steadily that lasts for months even years, with some intermittent technical rebound. Metaphorically, we as a bunch of employees experiencing the same bearish nature when working in an environment which's not stimulating and where job responsibilities generalized to the effect of flattening your morale. We're experiencing "technical rebound" too when given slight workload relief, provided with better salary, company sponsored vacation or others which I think just to patch up your marginal spiritual break down.

Generalization is another issue, thought I'm personally not against it. The logic is simple, generalize at microscopic level can be beneficial but at a macroscopic, the direction can cause a havoc to the company reputation, human capital and to the country's GDP (Haha, Am I sounds too exaggerated now?). I can't really imagine when Intel starts to sell lingerie and cosmetics, instead of focusing in making use of silicones. WHAT? Lingerie made from silicon? Don't be silly.

What about the "Cold War" period? It is difficult for an employer to identify employees that are in such a period. From the surface, everything is normal. They worked long hour, delivering tasks as promised, seldom get sick and blah blah. Ok fine, some of them might show certain level of performance degradation but that doesn't represent the entire population. What's behind the scene is the fact that they are staying for some personal reasons which might attributed to monetary and comfort of environment. I understand that it is arguable that "monetary and comfort of environment" are the main reasons that retains people but realistically only for a short term. Soon or later the need for self actualization, career interest, spiritual enrichment and all sorts of "funny" excuses will start to emerge to overhaul your good old dream as perfect employer. This phenomenon happens all around the globe.

Visionary employers will and should do their best to create a strategic "golden crossover" for individuals in bearish trend or cold war period. The importance of this preventive measure is to reduce the likelihood that other individuals which are enjoying bullish trend being affected by their counterpart peers.

A crossover involving a security's short-term moving average (such as 15-day moving average) breaking above its long-term moving average (such as 50-day moving average) or resistance level.

To be continued.