Friday, March 07, 2008

Manipulating and Manipulated

I know and understand that the mental influential of fear aspect is at least 5 times order of magnitude more powerful than the possibility of hope. People tends to believe more in negativity of outcome.

Obama and Hillary.

Obama is the first BLACK US president.
Hillary is the first WOMAN US president.

If you start to think about which direction is worst than the other, then most probably your decision is affect better by fear. Can't you just start by thinking "which is better"?

Let me localize the scenario to the country of Malaysia. Malaysia will go through a general election at least once every 5 years and usually there are 3 major categories of candidates contesting in the election: Barisan Nasional, Opposition and Independent.

Now, ask yourself a question, who's marketing strategy is more superior? Let us analyze from the angle of independent candidates. First and foremost, neither they can promise any realizable hopes (HOPE) nor they can inject the sentiment of fears to the public. They are just merely pathetic individuals aims to increase their presence in the market and metaphorically is just like a hat for a horse(for what!!).

In my opinion, oppositions made a terrible mistake. They need to understand one fact: They don't have the luxury of making use multiple themes in getting the attention of voters. Mixing up the elements of HOPE and FEAR in their strategy really fire back. If people get confused, they rather stay the same and vote for BN. It's like here i promise to give you candy where after 5 minutes later i tell you something bad about something else. The messages are NOT strong enough.

Before I continue, I like to stress that I'm not bias toward any of the parties and my analysis here is purely for the sake of analysis.

B.N. in other way, DON'T need to raise more hopes than necessary since people already sweetened by the pre-election candy. It's all about FEAR, FEAR and FEAR. An excerpt from TheStar dated 07-March-2008:


Abdullah: Vote for a
voice in the Government
Datuk Seri Abdullah Ahmad Badawi reminded the Chinese community that if they gave the DAP their votes, they will end up not having any representation in the Government.


This is definitely a "blackmail" disguised under the words of our "Bapa Pembangunan Insan" (Go and google the wiki about this). Sadly speaking, besides few percentages of more enlightened and educated chinese, this message really get to the mind set of the rest. Again, I reiterated the success of FEAR in their campaign.

Malaysia is 51 years old soon.

Historically speaking, any successful developed nation MUST go through a period of revolution. US, China, Japan, Germany and many more, you name it.

A transition period is imperative for Malaysia, regardless of whether it is mentally, forcefully, fundamentally or cruelly done. I foresee no such sequence of circumstances shall occur at least in the near term, therefore I conclude Malaysia will stay within the range of + or - 5 years of development progress. Negative progress might be due to global economy recessions and eventual social depressions.

I foresee too that the effort of BNM to regulate the appreciation of Ringgit shall fall due to dynamic external forces or extreme depreciation of US dollar. China Yuan plays a very important role here.

Of course, the rule of thumb is the further to the future I forecast, the greater the deviation it will be compared to actual happenings. Hopefully Malaysia do work out great at the end of day.

God bless us.

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